Homebuyers need more than falling mortgage rates to jump back into the market

  • A decline in mortgage rates convinced some homebuyers to come off the sidelines.

  • Mortgage applications are up 28% from early November

  • Even though homebuyer demand is improving, the number of available homes for sale is still very low, and that is keeping upward pressure on prices

  • Just 42% of new and existing homes for sale in January were considered affordable for the typical U.S. household

  • New home construction fell 1.4% in December compared to November and was down nearly 22% from a year ago, according to the Census Bureau

  • Fewer sellers are putting homes on the market, adding to the supply crunch

  • Interest rates in the 5% to 6% range aren't enough to offset the bigger problem of limited supply

  • Part of the reason sellers aren't listing is high interest rates – They don't want to trade in their 3% interest rate for a 6% interest rate

  • Through the course of 2023, we expect mortgage rates to end the year closer to 5% rather than the 6% where they are today

 

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